How to Prepare for a Recession | Stash Learn

How to prepare for a recession

By: Team Stash • Reviewed by: Heather Comella
Published: Feb 20, 2024 • Updated: Jun 09, 2026

In this article:

  1. Review your finances
  2. Create and stick to a budget
  3. Build your emergency fund
  4. Prioritize paying off high-interest debt
  5. Spend less and stay frugal
  6. Avoid new, big financial commitments
  7. Cushion your career
  8. Continue to invest what you can
  9. When recession looms, take the long view

For the past two years savers and investors have experienced remarkable inflation, stock market volatility, and threats of recession. As we begin 2024, and the Fed starts to pull back on raising interest rates, economists continue to vacillate between predictions of recession or a soft landing. Whether we see modest GDP growth in this new year, or slip into recession, it’s important to be prepared so you can weather whatever economic ups and downs may come.

What is a recession? A recession is a period of significant but temporary economic decline affecting individuals and businesses across multiple sectors. Economic indicators include rising unemployment rates alongside dips in income, spending, and industrial production. It is a natural part of the economic cycle. According to Forbes, historically recessions last an average of 10 months (post WWII).

If you’re unprepared for an economic downturn, you’re likely to experience consequences with potentially negative long-term financial impacts. But with some proactive readiness, you can avoid the financial vulnerabilities associated with job loss, financial instability, and other recession-driven hardships. These eight steps will help you make a plan to ride out an economic decline with confidence.

Review your finances

First, evaluate your current situation. Compile a comprehensive overview that includes income, expenses, liabilities, and assets.

This information allows you to lay out a financial plan to guide you through a potential recession, as well as look ahead to long-term goals. Consider creating a visual representation like a spreadsheet or financial statement that allows you to assess your situation at a glance.

Having all of this information in one place can keep you from making panicked financial decisions in the face of economic uncertainty. Determine where you could make cutbacks if needed now, instead of scrambling to make ends meet if your income decreases or disappears later.

Create and stick to a budget

Making a budget is a fundamental step in planning how to prepare for a recession, particularly if you’re new to managing your personal finances. When uncertainty looms, there’s no better time to track and adjust your spending habits. Understanding your cash flow today and where you could potentially cut back tomorrow is vital, especially if your job is recession-sensitive.

Start building your recession-friendly budget by subtracting all your monthly expenses from your income; this will tell you whether you’re living within your means or need to trim expenses. With that information in hand, you can establish monthly spending limits for each expense category and set savings goals. You may want to use the 50-30-20 budget guideline to simplify the process. Assign 50% of your income to essential living expenses like housing, food, utilities, and debt (“needs” category of spending). Devote 30% to things you’d like to spend money on but could ultimately do without (your “wants”), and 20% to savings goals, your emergency fund, and long-term investments.

This is the time to decide if you want to cut down on your spending in certain areas so you can bolster your emergency fund so you have more of a cushion in case of recession. You may want to re-evaluate your “needs” if you are in a tight financial situation. What you “need” when you’re bringing home extra money each pay period can look different from what you “need” if you were to lose your job in a recession. Sometimes temporary adjustments may be necessary but you can adjust back as your financial situation changes or improves over time.

Build your emergency fund

Financial curveballs like unexpected expenses and job loss could have a bigger impact during an economic downturn. A solid emergency fund provides a safety net you can use to handle those crises without going into credit card debt or wiping out your other savings.

Building an emergency fund can be especially important during a recession, when economic decline can undermine job stability. The rule of thumb is to save up three to six months’ worth of living expenses so you can cover your bills in case your pay is reduced or you get laid off. While you might be able to receive unemployment benefits if you lose your job, they may not cover all your essential expenses or float you for as long as you need. Unemployment usually replaces only half your income and ends after 26 weeks in most states, so chances are you’ll need the extra money in your emergency fund to get by until you find a new job.

While three to six months of living expenses may seem like a lot to save up, you can make it feel less daunting by breaking that larger goal into smaller ones based on priorities. You might start by saving enough to pay rent for three months, then setting aside enough for your essential bills, and so on. Just getting started is what matters most.

If you want to grow your emergency fund faster, consider cutting some discretionary expenses and putting that money toward your emergency savings. If you get a bonus, tax refund, or other windfall, add it to this savings goal. Keeping your fund in a high-yield savings account can also help amplify your savings by earning interest, as well as ensuring your money is easy to access when you need it.

Prioritize paying off high-interest debt

High-interest debt is expensive, and it can keep you stuck in a rut of never-ending monthly payments that strain your budget and undermine your savings goals. Credit cards, personal loans, unsecured lines of credit, and payday loans are generally classified as “bad debt” because they tend to have high interest rates and steep late fees; the interest rates are also variable, meaning they could skyrocket at the lender’s discretion. Bad debt can even negatively affect your credit score if you’re late on a single payment.

If you’re worried about how to prepare for a recession, getting out of debt as soon as possible may be high on your priority list. And paying off credit card debt might be extra important: the average credit card rate in the U.S. is 27.80% as of November 2023. Even if you currently have a low rate, credit card issuers often hike their rates when the Federal Reserve raises interest rates during periods of inflation.

Consider attacking your high-interest debt before recession strikes by using the avalanche method. This debt-repayment strategy prioritizes paying off your highest-interest debts first in order to reduce the overall amount you spend on interest over time. As you pay off each debt, the extra money rolls down to the next, and the impact becomes greater over time. Here’s how works:

  1. Organize your debts by interest rate, highest to lowest.
  2. Make the minimum monthly payments on all of your debts, except for the highest-interest one.
  3. Every month, pay extra on your highest-interest debt.
  4. When the first debt is paid off, put the amount you’d been paying on it toward the debt with the next-highest interest rate.
  5. Repeat the process until all of your debts are paid off.

Here’s an example of the avalanche method in action. Imagine you have the following debts and can afford to put an extra $110 a month, over and above the minimum payments, toward paying them off.

Type of debt Balance Interest rate Minimum monthly payment Extra monthly avalanche payment
Credit card $1,000 20% $40 $110
Personal loan $1,500 15% $40 n/a
Unsecured line of credit $1,300 12% $25 n/a

After eight months, the credit card would be paid off, so you’d start paying an extra $150 on the personal loan; $150 is the total of the credit card’s minimum payment and the extra avalanche payment.

Type of debt Balance Interest rate Minimum monthly payment Extra monthly avalanche payment
Credit card $0 20% $0 n/a
Personal loan $1345 15% $40 $150
Unsecured line of credit $1213 12% $25 n/a

Once the personal loan is paid off, you’d put an extra $190 toward the unsecured line of credit until all your debts are satisfied.

Spend less and stay frugal

While you don’t need to deprive yourself of every little luxury, it does help to adopt a frugal mindset while preparing for a potential recession. Reducing discretionary expenses can help you put more money toward your emergency savings.

When looking for ways to save money, use the financial plan and budget you’ve already created to distinguish between needs and non-essential wants, then make some choices in the name of frugality. Dining, entertainment, and impulse buying are some of the most common culprits in a ballooning budget, so many people find that reducing these expenses can have a big impact.

Avoid new, big financial commitments

When preparing for a recession, signing up for new expenses puts you on the hook for things you might not be able to afford if your cash flow starts to dry up. Avoid making new financial commitments, especially those with high monthly payments or interest rates. Forgo taking on new debt, stick with your roommates or your parents for a little while longer, and say no to pouring money into risky new ventures.

Cushion your career

Financial preparedness includes both enhancing your job security and focusing on career development, just in case you need to make an unexpected change. When you make yourself indispensable in your current position, you might be in a better position to weather potential layoffs. But if you do wind up in the market for a new job, ongoing professional development efforts could help you get noticed and hired faster. In either case, it’s important to know your industry, stay up to date with trends, learn new skills, and network before a recession hits. Consider taking these steps to stay ahead:

  1. Diversify your skill set: Identify and acquire skills that are in demand across various industries. Diversifying your skill set can make you more adaptable during economic downturns, especially if your specific industry takes a harder hit.
  2. Update your resume: Job searching can be stressful, especially when you haven’t updated your resume in a while. Give yourself some peace of mind and polish it up now. You’ll be more prepared to make a move, whether your company decides to downsize or an unexpected job opportunity pops up.
  3. Network, network, network: Landing a job often comes down to knowing the right people. Building a strong network of professional relationships can lead to new opportunities or fortify your job security in the midst of a recession. Stay in touch with colleagues on LinkedIn, join professional organizations, and attend industry conferences to grow your network.
  4. Stay informed about your industry: It pays to know what’s going on. Don’t ignore company news and industry reports. Stay informed about the health of your industry overall and monitor economic indicators so recession doesn’t take you by surprise.
  5. Deliver your best work: It may be difficult to stay positive and productive at work with economic uncertainty on the horizon. However, consistently delivering high-quality work, being flexible with company changes, and projecting optimism can enhance your professional reputation with your colleagues and boss. It can also help you obtain the glowing recommendation you need to snag your next job.

Continue to invest what you can

Perhaps the most important thing for investors to remember when recession looms is this: don’t panic. Even when the stock market is in a slump, don’t abandon your investing plans. While it may be stressful to see the value of your portfolio drop, remember that economic downturns don’t last nearly as long as periods of economic growth. A long-term investment strategy is intended to help you ride out market volatility and natural fluctuations in the business cycle, including a recession.

As long as your spending is under control and your emergency fund is solid, continuing to invest now can help you work toward retirement and other far-off goals. Keep making your regular contributions to 401(k) and IRA. If you want to make adjustments to the holdings in your brokerage account, you might consider defensive stocks and other investments that may perform well in a recession to further diversify your portfolio. You might also want to talk with a financial advisor about the options that best align with your goals and risk profile.

When recession looms, take the long view

Determining how to prepare for a recession involves taking stock of where you are now as well as your long-term goals. When you’re uncertain about the immediate future, it can help to get a firm handle on your personal finances to build a solid budget, emergency fund, and plan for paying off debt.

At the same time, remind yourself that economic recessions are temporary and recovery will follow. Staying invested throughout the ups and downs of the market cycle is key to reaching long-term investing success.

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